AM Best Maintains Stable Outlook for Canada P/C Insurance

AM Best Maintains Stable Outlook for Canada P/C Insurance

The Canadian property/casualty (P/C) insurance sector is demonstrating significant resilience, underpinned by robust capitalization and enhanced underwriting profitability. According to a new report from AM Best, the segment is maintaining a stable outlook due to improved earnings and steady investment returns. This stability comes as the industry navigates shifting interest rate environments and evolving regulatory frameworks, positioning the sector for sustained performance despite emerging climate and operational risks.

Canada P/C Revenue and Underwriting Performance

The Canadian P/C industry reported a notable expansion in its revenue base during 2025. Gross insurance revenue grew by 5.6% to reach CAD 97.4 billion, while net insurance revenue increased 6.0% to CAD 76.1 billion. Concurrently, insurance service expenses saw a decrease of 6.3%, falling to CAD 79.4 billion. AM Best attributes this improved underwriting performance partly to a moderation in catastrophe activity compared to the previous year. However, the personal auto segment continues to face headwinds, specifically from rising vehicle repair costs and increased rates of auto theft, though the report notes these pressures may be moderating.

Investment returns remain steady, supported by elevated fixed-income yields even as interest rates have largely stabilized. The market landscape remains highly concentrated, where scale and consolidation act as primary competitive advantages for large national insurers. On the regulatory front, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) is maintaining prudent oversight, with a heightened focus on operational resilience, cyber hygiene, and governance regarding artificial intelligence. Additionally, provincial regulators are currently implementing major updates to auto insurance frameworks, while insurers increasingly rely on managing general agents and brokers to deploy capital flexibly and expand their market reach.

Key Takeaways

  • Gross insurance revenue for the Canadian P/C industry grew 5.6% to CAD 97.4 billion in 2025.
  • Net insurance revenue increased 6.0% to CAD 76.1 billion, while service expenses dropped 6.3% to CAD 79.4 billion.
  • AM Best maintains a stable outlook, citing strong capitalization and improved underwriting results.

FinanceInsyte's Take

In our view, the Canadian P/C sector is entering a period of disciplined consolidation. While the 2025 revenue growth and expense reductions signal strong operational control, the reliance on scale to combat rising auto theft and repair costs suggests that smaller players may struggle. The shift toward AI and data analytics is no longer optional; it is a regulatory and competitive necessity. As OSFI tightens governance around AI and cyber hygiene, the ability to integrate these technologies while managing climate-related catastrophe risks will define market leaders.

Questions & Answers

How is the Canadian P/C industry managing its revenue and expense ratios?

The industry saw gross revenue rise to CAD 97.4 billion and net revenue to CAD 76.1 billion in 2025, while simultaneously reducing insurance service expenses by 6.3% to CAD 79.4 billion.

What specific risks are currently impacting the personal auto insurance segment?

Profitability in personal auto remains under pressure from two primary drivers: the increasing frequency of auto theft and the rising costs associated with vehicle repairs.

What role is the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) playing?

OSFI is providing oversight with an increased emphasis on three critical areas: operational resilience, cyber hygiene, and the establishment of strong governance frameworks for the use of artificial intelligence.

How are insurers expanding their market reach in this concentrated landscape?

Insurers are increasingly utilizing managing general agents and brokers as flexible mechanisms to deploy capital and extend their market presence.

Source: https://ambest.com/

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